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Stock Market Report From Oliver Silverstein
U.S. Housing Boom Will
Turn To Bust
5/20/2006
Don't Be Fooled By The
Summer Rally
8/11/2008
The Stock Market Crashed. Now
What?
10/10/2008
U.S. Stocks Heading Lower
1/12/2009
U.S. Stock Market
Poised For Major Rally
3/10/2009
FASB Issues a Game-Changer
4/14/2009
Look Out Above!
7/15/2009
More Room To Run For Stocks
10/15/2009
Uh-Oh, VIX Sell Signal
Appears
1/12/2010
Uh-Oh, VIX Sell Signal
Appears Again
4/13/2010
The Warning Bells Are Ringing
4/23/2010
The One Year Rally Is Now Over
5/5/2010 |
More Room To Run For Stocksby Oliver Silverstein October 15, 2009 In March of this year, specifically on the 10th, I posted that the Primary Wave 1 down of this mega-bear market looked like it had ended, and that we could expect a magnificent rally as Primary Wave 2 corrected the entire decline from October 2007 to March, 2009.
The targets that I posted for the rally were 1,228.73 on the S&P 500, with a time frame of February 2010, to May 2010.
Since that time, the S&P 500 has risen from a low of 666.79 to today's close of 1,096.56.
That's an impressive gain of about 430 points, or 64%, in approximately 7 months.
While that is truly a spectacular rise that ranks in the top 3 rallies of all time, there is still room for stocks to run higher.
We are not yet in the ballpark of my anticipated high of 1,228.73. Nor are we in the anticipated time frame.
Additionally, we are approaching a period of seasonal strength for stocks. Since 1945, the S&P 500 has only risen an average of 1.6% during the May-through-October period, while averaging a price gain of 7.1% during the November-through-April period.
Having almost completed the seasonally weak period of stocks unscathed, the weight of the evidence suggests that the market will be able to approach that 1,228 number in the coming few months.
This rally isn't over.
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FASB Caves Under Congressional Pressure
04/16/2009
The Ticking Time Bomb: Underfunded Pensions
02/12/2010
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